Posts Tagged ‘Analysis’

How to Profit From Forex Using Technical Analysis

March 12th, 2010

Technical analysis is price movement study. You can track the history of price movement by using price charts and try to work out which way the prices are likely to go in the future.


Online Forex brokers will give you a variety of different tools which you can use in technical analysis. Here are some of the most common ones:


Bollinger Brands


These are used to measure the volatility of the market. They comprise 3 lines:


1. A moving average in the center.


2. A lower band which shows the moving average minus 2 standard deviations.


3. An upper band which shows the moving average plus 2 standard deviations.


When the volatility of the market is low, the bands will come further together. When the volatility of the market is high, the bands will spread further apart.


The Bollinger Bounce


The middle band usually stays between the outer bands. The outer bands can be compared to border control. When the middle band gets too close, it is bounced back towards the middle. This is why it is called the Bollinger Bounce. It is helpful to be aware of this because if you see the middle band getting close to an outer band, it will probably bounce away.


This strategy works the best when there are no clear trends and prices seem to be fluctuating.


A good strategy to use to spot an early trend is called the Bollinger Squeeze. This is when the bands squeeze closely together and can often mean that a breakout is imminent. If the middle band breaks through either the lower band or the upper one, this means that the trend is likely to continue to go in that direction.


Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reversal)


This indicator is used to identify trend reversals. It is an easy indicator to read. Dots appear on the chart in positions either below or above the candles (the formula used to work out where the dogs must go is rather complicated).


Dots below the candles are an indication to buy and dots above the candles are an indication to sell.


Parabolic SAR does not work well when price movement is small but it does work well when there are clear trends, either in an upward or downward direction.


Stochastics


Stochastics has a scale from 0 to 100. It is an indicator used to measure oversold and overbought conditions in the market. When the lines are over 80, that means the market is overbought. If this happens, a downward trend might form. When the lines are below 20, this means the market is oversold and an upward trend might form.


Stochastics can be useful in working out when to issue sell or buy orders and when to lock in profits. You should never use just one indicator. It is better to combine several of them and adjust these to your own trading strategy.

Ian Armstrong is an avid Forex enthusiast.

Ian recommends Avi Frister’s “Forex Trading Machine”, which uses only price and time as trading indicators. Full details at Frister’s FX Trading Machine

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Technical Analysis With Candlesticks

March 12th, 2010

Technical analysis is a visual way to predict future of the stock/futures market based on the history of its trend. This trend can happen in a sudden rush or over a period of time. If you are a longtime investor knowing the fundamentals of the asset is important. For a trader, knowing the direction of the trend is essential. Technical analysis is not an exact science, and therefor the  subject of much criticism. These so-called experts claim that, due to market efficiency, someone that uses technical analysis is doing little more than guessing. Market efficiency means that all the available information is already calculated in the stock prices, and that you can only guess how the price will behave in the future.

These experts might be right if it wasn’t for the fact that there are a significant number of traders who are able to consistently make profits in the stock/futures market. Technical analysis is one of the main tools they use. If technical analysis is a tool, than candlestick charting is the power that makes it run. There are many successful traders who utilize the technicals without candlesticks, however knowing just some of the candlestick patterns will make you more profits. Take for example the open and closing tick on a typical chart. What has happened between those two actions? A candle will light the way.

For those of you not yet familiar with candlestick charting, I will  try to give a brief but accurate explanation.  The Chinese invented the market concept, and the Japanese perfected charting techniques with the use of the candlesticks. It is easy to understand this complex system, if, as I’ve already mentioned, we simply break it down to the ticks on the chart you follow every day. We know that the lower tick is where the stock opened and the higher is where it closed. Now if we made the two lines parallel and connected them, what would we have? A candle. However, during that movement, the stock might have gone lower or higher then where it opened or closed, so our candle has formed a tail and a wick. Is it starting to make a little sense to you? Can you see the advantage of knowing this information, for getting in and out, and setting a stop loss?

Take these examples:

1. Let’s assume a stock opens twenty cents higher than it closed yesterday. It later closes ten cents higher than that. Should we get in? Not necessarily. Because as the candlestick showed us, even though it had a thirty-cent swing from the day before, a long wick was created. This meant that it went even higher then it eventually settled on. That tells us that the pressure to go higher wasn’t strong enough. We will put it on our watch list, and keep a keen eye on it.

2.A few days passes with similar results. Suddenly there is a break in the resistance. The stock has formed a candlestick with a long tail. What does this convey? We might put a buy signal for a couple of cents  higher than it has previously gone, because the long tail tells us that the bulls are ready to take over.

3. Ideally you want to wait for clusters to form. Of course the greatest indicator is a long candle. One that opens and closes with hardly any wick or tail.

There are many “characters” in the Candlestick System. I attended a $2000 workshop to learn this type of charting. However, you can learn these methods for literally pennies, compared to what I spent. If you have the right trading company that offers Candlestick Charts, make sure they also have penny stocks. Many of them don’t cater to “Pink Sheets”. ( If you have not yet discovered the world of penny stocks, please refer to
Penny Stocks Big Bucks )

To properly consider what software will best suit your needs, we must first determine a mutual understanding. Most investors who use the internet, know about swing trading. If you are not a day trader or long term investor, you are a swing trader. Many so-called experts lump all online traders into the bag of day trading. For the sophisticated observer it is plain to see the obvious differences. A day trader rides the rush of the asset, while a swing trader diagnosis the trends and holds onto it as long as the momentum  last. If we are in agreement on these points than you will be able to comprehend the following suggestions I strongly feel is necessary for any software to be useful.

1. It must be able to offer live streaming technical data.    (Otherwise the program is merely educational)   
2. The platform should defiantly include candlestick charting.
3. Visually it has to be large enough for all the data to be seen easily. (Many of the online brokerage’s technical data are too small to be useful)
4. It must be cost effective. (Most good systems can be purchased for between one and two hundred dollars)

I don’t profess to being an expert, but I do know of some. I obviously don’t have the time to go into all the details now, but at my site Market Mentalist you will find all you need to know about investing online. You will find an abundance of articles and product information on Technical Analysis With Candlesticks
There is access to some of the top trading systems available including software, books, newsletters, and Forums. Whether you are an inquisitive novice or a seasoned pro Market Mentalist offers the online investment resource you just might be seeking.

Now in my late 50’s, I consider myself to be a Jack Of All Trades And Master Of a few things. I was a struggling actor for 25 years. During that time I learned a little about a lot of things, and would like to pass along some of that knowledge. As an experienced trader, I can tell you that this the time to take advantage of the market and Technical Analysis With Candlesticks

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EURUSD Elliott Wave Analysis A New High, Again!

March 12th, 2010

www.forexinfo.us Elliott Wave chart analysis for the EURUSD as at 15th October 2009.

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EURUSD Elliott Wave Analysis Downwards

March 12th, 2010

www.forexinfo.us Elliott Wave chart analysis for the EURUSD as at 12th October 2009.

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Forex Daily Trades Pre-Market Analysis : GBPUSD August 26, 2009

March 12th, 2010

We take a look at what at key trading levels and trade setups BEFORE they happen in the market.

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